Insights

FANDUEL PARTNERS BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP 3.2 – LINEUP MARCH 11, 2016

Tonight our quest for the FPC crown continues. The fifth leg of the FanDuel Partners Basketball Championship belonged to Team DraftPros.  After a disappointing fourth leg, we bounced back with a heat-winning 329.7 point performance anchored by the Cavaliers’ “Big Three” and an epic night from Kemba Walker.

To recap, the FanDuel Partners Basketball Championship (FPBC) is an elite tournament were our lineup picks face off against the other top 8 Daily Fantasy Sports sites to see who can build the best lineups.  The team with the highest aggregate score after 10 daily tournaments gets $500 in cash, paid flight, and hotel to see the $1 Million World Fantasy Basketball Championship at the Playboy Mansion (finally we hope to cross that off the bucket list), and most important of all the bragging rights that go along with being crowned the FanDuel Partner Champion. You can follow live as tonight we stake our claim to the throne at: FanDuel Partner Championship.

This is an excellent opportunity to showcase our 1 to 5 Star Player Rater & Lineup Builder that gives us the edge in the FPBC tournament.

FPC-Rater-3-2

Our Lineup tools are different than the others out there because we take all the important sports data and crunch it with our algorithms to distill the key insights into a 1 to 5 star rating for every player. This way you can quickly and intuitively build your lineups knowing which players are expected to score the most fantasy points relative to their assigned salary on FanDuel.

This is a quick diagram explaining how the process works:

Pro-Tools-Diagram

After putting our tools through the paces, we found that the best lineup for tonight was:

DraftPrs-FPC-FanDuel-3-1

If you are interested in giving our ProTools a try, for a limited time, we are giving a 3 day free trial so you can test them. If you are ready to start crushing the game click here:  Register

Tonight’s slate is full of competitive games and we already have uncovered fantastic value at multiple positions, as well as some superstars like LeBron James, who we expect to exceed their already high salary.

Here’s our position by position breakdown:

Point Guard

FPC-Damian-3-2

Damian Lillard (3 STAR RATING) breaks our rule of trying not to have any players below a four star rating in our lineup, but based on the price and the matchup with the Golden State Warriors, we’re convinced that Lillard has massive upside.  He’s averaging 68.55 FD Points in two meetings with the Warriors, who allow the eighth most fantasy production to opposing point guards.  Lillard is also a supreme value on FanDuel compared to DraftKings, where our site by site price comparison tool shows Lillard as a $788 discount from his DraftKings price.

Toney Douglas (5 STAR RATING) is getting a big opportunity for the short handed New Orleans Pelicans tonight against the even more short handed Memphis Grizzlies.  When teams have no other choice but to shorten their roatation due to injury, a player who is starting and assured of 30+ minutes at minimum salary is a virtual must play.  The matchup isn’t completely ideal, as Memphis allows the 24th most fantasy points to point guards, but the numbers racked up by the Grizzlies were mostly accumulated with a healthy Marc Gasol, Zach Randolph and Mike Conley, none of which who are playing tonight.

Shooting Guard

Zach LaVine (5 STAR RATING) continues to be priced fairly based on his recent production, and tonight he draws the Oklahoma City Thunder in the game with the second highest total on the slate.  OKC allows the eleventh most fantasy production to opposing shooting guards and with LaVine, you get the benefit of having the second unit point guard who also sees minutes when games get out of hand.  OKC is favored by 12.5 points tonight, making it a strong possibility that LaVine could log heavy minutes against a Thunder second unit.

Lance Stephenson (5 STAR RATING) is the one of two Memphis options we were interested in today.  The team as a whole will go widely over-owned in all formats tonight, and Stephenson looks to be getting a bump in minutes and usage as the Grizzlies are down two point guards.  Everyone on Memphis is playing out of position right now, and should foul trouble strike either Matt Barnes or Tony Allen tonight, Stephenson could play more than the 25 minutes he’s projected to see.  Removing his dud on Wednesday, Stephenson has at least 5Xed his FanDuel price tag in six of seven games.

Small Forward

Rudy Gay (5 STAR RATING) is a free space tonight that we didn’t want to go to war without.  The KIngs will be without DeMarcus Cousins tonight, which directly benefits Gay from a usage standpoint.  He’s performed above his normal averages in 27 games without Cousins in the last two seasons, which gives us a large enough sample size to determine that the stats are good.  Orlando allows just the 18th most fantasy points to small forwards, but are playing short handed themselves without Elfrid Payton and Nikola Vucevic.  Gay should lead the Kings in scoring along with an opportunity to 6-7X his salary in tonight’s projected most competitive game.

Matt Barnes (5 STAR RATING) is the other Memphis option that we are interested in, and it’s because he will likely lead the team in minutes.  Barnes is not a scorer, but he is someone who contributes across all categories and has seen his price drop below $5000 after a hot stretch two weeks ago.  The Pelicans are just as short handed as the Grizzlies, so the starters should see plenty of run tonight regardless of the score.

Power Forward

Anthony Davis (4 STAR RATING) is the high dollar player we felt we couldn’t go to war without tonight, and the reasons are well documented above.  Memphis and New Orleans are short handed and will likely play nine deep on each side.  Davis should be able to control the offensive side of the floor, as no back up level Grizzlies player can compete with Davis’ physical gifts.  Davis could see upwards of 40 minutes or more in a game with a 2.5 point spread.  Count us in!

Thaddeus Young (5 STAR RATING) is a regular in the 5 Star Club on DraftPros, and he gets a matchup with the 76ers, who allow the second most fantasy production to opposing power forwards.  Young and the Nets are in the rare position of favorite on the road tonight, and Young  is averaging a solid 34.35 FD points per game in two matchups with Philadelphia this season.  We trust our five star plays, and Young is our highest rated five star option today.

Center

DeAndre Jordan (5 STAR RATING) is likely going to be owned only by Team DraftPros today as most will punt down to Kosta Koufos at minimum price.  Jordan is an elite play tonight as the Clippers look to bounce back from an ugly loss Wednesday in Oklahoma City.  Jordan, prior to Wednesday’s dud, put up three consecutive 48+ FD point performances and, in a get right spot at home against the Knicks, we’re expecting plenty of Chris Paul and Jordan in this one.

If you like what you see be sure to give us a shoutout on twitter @draftpros or follow us on Facebook.

 

{Contributing: Antonio Moreda, Jack Biernacki, Kyle Vo, Jake Panzeri}

Previous post

NBA DFS Fast Break March 11th

Next post

NBA DFS: Matchups to Exploit March 14, 2016