Insights

FANDUEL PARTNERS BASKETBALL CHAMPIONSHIP 3.1 – LINEUP MARCH 9, 2016

So we had a bit of a hiccup last Friday. We entered a lineup that ended up scoring 366.4 FanDuel Fantasy Points and would have vaulted us to 1st place but at the last minute we second guessed the ProTools and changed our lineup to one that scored 261 points. Ah well… that won’t happen again. Moving forward, we are sticking with our lineup despite any last minute news that comes up except when one of our players is ruled out.

To recap, the FanDuel Partners Basketball Championship (FPBC) is an elite tournament were our lineup picks face off against the other top 8 Daily Fantasy Sports sites to see who can build the best lineups.  The team with the highest aggregate score after 10 daily tournaments gets $500 in cash, paid flight, and hotel to see the $1 Million World Fantasy Basketball Championship at the Playboy Mansion (finally we hope to cross that off the bucket list), and most important of all the bragging rights that go along with being crowned the FanDuel Partner Champion. You can follow live as tonight we stake our claim to the throne at: FanDuel Partner Championship.

We fortunately have the ability to drop our two lowest scores, so last Friday’s dismal performance is one we can easily move away from as we look to rebound tonight.

This is an excellent opportunity to showcase our 1 to 5 Star Player Rater & Lineup Builder that gives us the edge in the FPBC tournament.

DraftPrs-FPC-3-1-Lineup

Our Lineup tools are different than the others out there because we take all the important sports data and crunch it with our algorithms to distill the key insights into a 1 to 5 star rating for every player. This way you can quickly and intuitively build your lineups knowing which players are expected to score the most fantasy points relative to their assigned salary on FanDuel.

This is a quick diagram explaining how the process works:

Pro-Tools-Diagram

After putting our tools through the paces, we found that the best lineup for tonight was:

DraftPrs-FPC-FanDuel-3-1

If you are interested in giving our ProTools a try, for a limited time, we are giving a 3 day free trial so you can test them. If you are ready to start crushing the game click here:  Register

Tonight’s slate is full of competitive games and we already have uncovered fantastic value at multiple positions, as well as some superstars like LeBron James, who we expect to exceed their already high salary.

Here’s our position by position breakdown:

Point Guard

Kemba Walker (4 STAR RATING) playing at home is almost an automatic play right now, as he continues to exceed his season averages in his own building.  Tonight’s matchup with the short-handed New Orleans Pelicans offers fantastic upside, as the Pels play at a faster pace with a far worse defense.  Charlotte has the sixth highest implied team total and despite a middling DvP against point guards (14th), Walker has been on absolute fire at home and is a must play in this scenario.

Kyrie Irving (4 STAR RATING) anchors the projected second highest scoring offense facing off against the Sacramento Kings, who rank 4th in DvP vs. point guards.  Irving and company look to rebound from a humiliating loss to the Grizzlies’ second unit on Monday and get to play in the best possible environment, in Sacramento against the fastest paced team in the NBA who also allow the most points per game.  According to our site by site price comparison tool, Irving is a value play on FanDuel in comparison to DraftKings, where, when salaries are normalized to reflect a similar cap, Irving saves you $1068 from site to site.

Shooting Guard

Nicolas Batum (4 STAR RATING) should be able to continue a stretch of good recent performances, and he gets to do so at home, where he averages 11.04 fantasy points more per game.  Tonight’s matchup with the fantasy friendly Pelicans works strongly in his favor, as the Pelicans give up the most fantasy production to opposing shooting guards.  According to our site by site comparison tool, Batum is a great value on FanDuel, where you’re essentially saving $720 adjusted dollars playing him there.

Langston Galloway (5 STAR RATING) is likely to get some extended run tonight against the Phoenix Suns on the second night of a back to back.  Early word is that Carmelo Anthony may sit this game out, and we’re taking a chance on some value here if that scenario plays out.  The Suns allow the third most fantasy production to opposing shooting guards, and Galloway is locked in for 20-25 minutes of action regardless of Anthony’s status.  Phoenix is best attacked from the backcourt spots, so we wanted to have exposure to someone who could save us a bit of salary in this spot.

Small Forward

DraftPros_LeBron-James_Log

LeBron James (3 STAR RATING) is a play we normally wouldn’t make with the rating being below four stars, but his set up is fantastic tonight in Sacramento.  James hung a triple double on the Kings in Cleveland about a month ago in only 31 minutes of action, and if this game stays closer, he should log closer to 40 minutes, which gives us substantial upside for a cheaper price than that of James Harden at shooting guard or Kevin Durant at the same position.  Sacramento allows the fourth most fantasy production to small forwards.

Robert Covington (5 STAR RATING) has the best matchup at the small forward position on tonight’s slate, drawing the “defense optional” Houston Rockets at home.  Houston allows the most fantasy production to opposing small forwards and had a massive performance against them in late November, logging eight steals on his way to 57.9 FanDuel points.  We don’t expect the same thing, but 6X value is certainly in the cards tonight.  Covington is also a far better value selection on FanDuel, where our site by site comparison tool shows Covington saves you $766 adjusted dollars.

Power Forward

JaMychal Green (5 STAR RATING) is our favorite Grizzlies option tonight due to Zach Randolph’s continued absence and his cemented role as the starter.  Green has a massive Monday night in a far tougher matchup with the Cavaliers and draws a Celtics defense tonight allowing the seventh most fantasy points to the position.  Green is a matchup nightmare for the small Celtics front line and should be able to have another solid performance in a high paced spot.

Kevin Love (4 STAR RATING) completes our Cavs three-stack, as he’ll take on a Kings’ front line allowing the fifth most fantasy points to power forwards.  Love has been inconsistent both in minutes and production, but his price has dropped to a playable level, and assuming the pace and projections play out, Love is in line for a big statistical night at a discount from both his usual price range and where he’s priced on DraftKings.  Our site by site comparison tool shows Love is a massive $832 adjusted dollar savings from his DraftKings price.

Center

Alex Len (5 STAR RATING) will again be the chalkiest player on the slate and it’s because his price has not yet caught up to his production and ceiling.  Len draws a Knicks’ defense that is a middling matchup for centers overall, but when you’re dealing with a player who has had five straight double doubles, logging over 30 minutes in each contest, you have to continue riding the wave.  The Knicks are on night two of a back to back and could potentially be resting their best player, opening the door to a competitive contest where the pace will be high and defense will be optional.

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{Contributing: Antonio Moreda, Jack Biernacki, Kyle Vo, Jake Panzeri}

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